Research area
6 reports in the series.
A scenario model of seven survival pathways estimates that coordinated action from 2026 could prevent about 368 million premature deaths by 2100, for roughly 1% of global GDP — and that each year of delay forfeits some 8.3 million of them.
Nodes, channels, amplifiers and circuit-breakers, with the 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis as a live case.
Why the investments that lift people up are the same investments that stop shocks from spreading.
Demography, Asia and Africa’s rise, technology and AI, climate, pollution and biodiversity, geopolitics, and whether progress can outpace systemic risk: a forward analysis to 2100.
One asset class cuts seven coupled threats at once. The obstacle is not technology or cost but an appraisal system that credits a single benefit and prices none of the harm.
Coupled shocks defeat siloed responses. Four mutually reinforcing pillars — climate resilience, development finance, the energy transition, and institutional capacity — form a single strategy rather than a menu.